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Holtsville Hal, Malverne Mel Make Groundhog Day 2024 Forecast on Long Island

Groundhog Day
Malverne Mel did not see his shadow this Groundhog Day (Joe Abate)

Long Island’s leading groundhogs Holsville Hal and Malverne Mel agreed with each other for the first time in three years in making their seasonal forecast on Friday for Groundhog Day.

Both groundhogs did not see their shadow, their handlers told cheering audience members gathered to hear the news early Friday morning, which means springlike weather will arrive early, according to groundhog folklore. 

“At sunrise, the sky was filled with more than one cloud, and so I hope your cheers will be quite loud — I did not see my shadow in the early morning hours,” said Dan Losquadro, the Town of Brookhaven highway superintendent said while reading Hal’s prediction at the Holtsville Wildlife & Ecology Center that the groundhog calls home. “And so the wait will not be long until we see the flowers, sun, and warm temperatures the next few weeks will bring. I hope everyone enjoys this year’s spring.”

Holtsville Hal’s forecast at 7:25 a.m. came minutes after Malverne Village Mayor Tim Sullivan read Malverne Mel’s prediction also was for an early spring after that groundhog didn’t see its shadow either. The forecast means both of LI’s top groundhogs agreed with the nation’s most famous groundhog, Punxsutawney Phil, who made the same prediction Friday.

“When looking for his shadow, he ran out of his house, he could not see it,” Sullivan said in his unpoetic forecast.

Allen McButterpants, a groundhog at the Evelyn Alexander Wildlife Rescue Center in Hampton Bays, Quogue Library’s Sam Champion the groundhog, and a local newcomer, Niblet, who lives at Sweetbriar Nature Center, agreed. Other tristate area groundhogs that forecast spring were Staten Island Chuck, Dunkirk Dave and Connecticut Chuckle’s. New Jersey’s event was canceled again this year as officials were reportedly unable to find a replacement for Milltown Mel, who died in 2022. Bucking the trend and predicting a long winter was Buffalo Bert.

In addition, the Village of Bablon hosted an event with the nonprofit Humane Long Island that was billed as the region’s first groundhog-free Groundhog Day, which instead featured a person in a groundhog suit making the prediction.

To see why groundhogs should be allowed to be groundhogs and do what groundhogs do, which at this time of the year is sleep, we need look no further than Staten Island Chuck who bit Mayor Michael Bloomberg and his stand-in, Charlotte, who passed away a week after being dropped by Mayor Bill de Blasio—oMalverne Mel who attempted to escape this morning’s ceremony in Malverne,” said John Di Leonardo, anthrozoologist and executive director of Humane Long Island.

The Groundhog Day forecasts came as temperatures were expected to be in the 40s for the next week and drop into the 20s overnight, according to the National Weather Service. The vernal equinox is Tuesday, March 19, 2024.

Groundhog Day 2023
Greg Drossel, Holtsville Hal’s handler for two decades, held Holtsville Hal up for all to see in 2018. (Photo by Christa Ganz).

Here’s what the local Groundhog Day forecast was in years prior:

2023: Holtsvile Hal said spring, Malverne Mel said winter

2022: Holtsvile Hal said spring, Malverne Mel said winter

2021: Hal, Mel and Quogue Quigley, aka Sam Champion, all agreed it would be an early spring

2020: Hal and Mel said it would be a long winter, Quigley said early spring

2019: Hal, Mel and Quigley forecast an early spring

2018; Hal, Mel and Quigley forecast an early spring

2017: Hal said there would be six more weeks of winter

2016: Hal and Mel agreed it would be an early spring

2015: Hal and Mel saw their shadows, meaning more wintry weather

2014: Hal and Mel did not see their shadows, meaning spring-like weather

2013: Hal and Mel said there would be more wintry weather

2012: Hal said spring, Mel said winter

2011: Hal said winter

2010: Hal and Mel said winter

2009: Hal said winter, Mel said spring

2008: Mel said spring

2007 Hal said winter, Mel said spring